Yesterday, the Brewers entered play with a 9-2 record, making them the 51st team since division play began in 1969 to start 9-2 or stronger. I ran a table showing that teams starting 9-2 since then have a slightly better than 50% chance of making the postseason. Now they're 10-2. Here's a list of teams since 1969 to start the season 10-2 :
Year Team End of Season
1971 Giants Lost NLCS
1978 Royals Lost ALCS
1981 Expos Lost NLCS
1981 Dodgers Won WS
1984 Padres Lost WS
1988 Indians 78-84
1989 Rangers 83-79
1990 Reds Won WS
1998 Padres Lost WS
1992 Pirates Lost NLCS
1992 Blue Jays Won WS
1996 Orioles Lost ALDS
1998 Indians Lost ALCS
1998 Orioles 79-83
1999 Indians Lost ALDS
2003 Yankees Lost WS
2005 Dodgers 71-91
2011 Rockies 73-89
2012 Rangers Lost WC
The Brewers are getting into an elite field. They're only the 20th team to start the year 10-2 since 1969. Of the 19 predecessors, all but five were still playing in October. So 74% made the postseason. At this point we can say that if the Brewers don't make the playoffs, it won't be unprecedented, but it will be a bit of a surprise. Teams that start the year 10-2 are generally good teams.
Baseball. Analysis. Analysis of baseball. Baseball of analysis. No, wait, that makes no sense.
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