Friday, December 6, 2013

Robinson Cano, Future Ancient Mariner

The Seattle Mariners have signed former Yankees second baseman Robinson Cano to a ten-year, $240 million contract. Second base is a tough position. A lot of guys don't last long there. Among Hall of Famers, Rogers Hornsby's and Jackie Robinson's last full years at the position were at age 33. Roberto Alomar's was at 35. Rod Carew moved over to first when he was 30. A couple Yankees: Joe Gordon was 35 during his last season, and Tony Lazzeri played only 81 games past his 33rd birthday. 

Cano will be 40 in the last year of his contract. Here's a list of players since 1901 who played 120 or more games at second at age 38 or more:

Player OPS G Year Age Tm AB R H 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB CS BA OBP SLG
Jeff Kent .875 136 2007 39 LAD 494 78 149 36 1 20 79 57 61 1 3 .302 .375 .500
Joe Morgan .838 134 1982 38 SFG 463 68 134 19 4 14 61 85 60 24 4 .289 .400 .438
Nap Lajoie .802 137 1913 38 CLE 465 66 156 25 2 1 68 33 17 17 .335 .398 .404
Craig Biggio .792 155 2005 39 HOU 590 94 156 40 1 26 69 37 90 11 1 .264 .325 .468
Davey Lopes .764 147 1983 38 OAK 494 64 137 13 4 17 67 51 61 22 4 .277 .341 .423
Craig Biggio .727 145 2006 40 HOU 548 79 135 33 0 21 62 40 84 3 2 .246 .306 .422
Frank White .635 135 1989 38 KCR 418 34 107 22 1 2 36 30 52 3 2 .256 .307 .328
Kid Gleason .604 155 1905 38 PHI 608 95 150 17 7 1 50 45 45 16 .247 .302 .303
Rabbit Maranville .579 149 1932 40 BSN 571 67 134 20 4 0 37 46 28 4 .235 .295 .284
Kid Gleason .550 135 1906 39 PHI 494 47 112 17 2 0 34 36 29 17 .227 .281 .269
Rabbit Maranville .539 143 1933 41 BSN 478 46 104 15 4 0 38 36 34 2 .218 .274 .266
Bobby Lowe .494 141 1904 38 TOT 507 47 105 14 6 0 40 17 44 15 .207 .236 .258
Generated 12/6/2013.

That's just nine players in baseball history: Craig Biggio, Kid Gleason, Jeff Kent, Nap Lajoie, Davey Lopes, Bobby Lowe, Rabbit Maranville, Joe Morgan, and Frank White. And of those, there were only five seasons (the first five listed above) in which the old guy at second was a decent offensive contributor. 

Of course, this contract isn't about Cano's 2021-2023 seasons. It's about a Mariners team that was 12th of the 15 teams in the AL at run production adding the best-hitting second baseman in baseball to its lineup in 2014. Or, put another way, Seattle's second basemen posted a .214/.289/.330 slash line (batting average, on base percentage, slugging percentage). Cano's was .314/.383/.516. This is a big upgrade for a team with deep pockets. They have plenty of offensive holes elsewhere to fill, but this is a splashy start.



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