Tuesday, October 1, 2013

Time for Awards

Yeah, I know, they won't be announced until after the Series. But the voters have to submit their ballots before postseason play. So I will too.

Note that this blog is called On The Field of Play. Awards aren't on the field of play. So this is going to be short. I'm going to list who I think should get each award and who I think will receive it. Then let's move on, OK? It's the postseason.

Disclaimer: I don't feel a team's won-lost record is relevant. I don't think awards should be limited to players whose teams play in the postseason. That's my opinion. You might not agree. Many voters don't. That's cool. Just want you to know where I'm coming from.

AL MVP
Who should get it: Man, this is tough. I think this is a four-man race between Miguel Cabrera, Mike Trout, Robinson Cano, and Josh Donaldson. Let's compare them:
AB R H 2B 3B HR RBI BB IBB SO GDP SB CS BA OBP SLG OPS
Miguel Cabrera 555 103 193 26 1 44 137 90 19 94 19 3 0 .348 .442 .636 1.078
Robinson Cano 605 81 190 41 0 27 107 65 16 85 18 7 1 .314 .383 .516 .899
Josh Donaldson 579 89 174 37 3 24 93 76 2 110 15 5 2 .301 .384 .499 .883
Mike Trout 589 109 190 39 9 27 97 110 10 136 8 33 7 .323 .432 .557 .988
Provided by Baseball-Reference.com: View Play Index Tool Used
Generated 10/1/2013.

Obviously, Cabrera's the best hitter of the bunch. He led in the triple crown statistics, as well as on-base percentage and slugging. But he's a below-average baserunner and fielder, and I'm being kind of generous. The other guys are excellent fielders and, as baserunners, they're either decent (Donaldson, Cano) or outstanding (Trout).

I'd vote for Trout. He led the league in runs and he got almost 100 RBI despite batting first or second 107 times. He's a great baserunner and an outstanding outfielder.

Who will get it: Cabrera, and it won't be close.

NL MVP
Who should get i
t: There are five contenders, as I see it: Andrew McCutchen, Yadier Molina, Matt Carpenter, Joey Votto, and Paul Goldschmidt.

AB R H 2B 3B HR RBI BB IBB SO GDP SB CS BA OBP SLG OPS
Matt Carpenter 626 126 199 55 7 11 78 72 1 98 4 3 3 .318 .392 .481 .873
Paul Goldschmidt 602 103 182 36 3 36 125 99 19 145 25 15 7 .302 .401 .551 .952
Andrew McCutchen 583 97 185 38 5 21 84 78 12 101 13 27 10 .317 .404 .508 .911
Yadier Molina 505 68 161 44 0 12 80 30 4 55 14 3 2 .319 .359 .477 .836
Joey Votto 581 101 177 30 3 24 73 135 19 138 15 6 3 .305 .435 .491 .926
Provided by Baseball-Reference.com: View Play Index Tool Used
Generated 10/1/2013.

I honestly didn't realize Carpenter had been as good as he's been. Of these, Molina's the standout fielder, McCutchen the standout baserunner. If I had a ballot it'd be McCutchen first, Goldschmidt second.

Who will get it: McCutchen. He stayed hot (.318 BA, .453 OBP, .541 SLG in September) as the Pirates clinched their first playoff appearance since George H.W. Bush was in the White House.

AL Cy Young
Who should get it: I think there are five contenders: Max Scherzer, Yu Darvish, Anibal Sanchez, Chris Sale, and Hisashi Iwakuma.
GS CG W L W-L% IP H R ER BB SO ERA HR BA OBP SLG
Yu Darvish 32 0 13 9 .591 209.2 145 68 66 80 277 2.83 26 .194 .277 .334
Hisashi Iwakuma 33 0 14 6 .700 219.2 179 69 65 42 185 2.66 25 .220 .258 .371
Chris Sale 30 4 11 14 .440 214.1 184 81 73 46 226 3.07 23 .230 .282 .354
Anibal Sanchez 29 1 14 8 .636 182.0 156 56 52 54 202 2.57 9 .229 .286 .330
Max Scherzer 32 0 21 3 .875 214.1 152 73 69 56 240 2.90 18 .198 .254 .329
Provided by Baseball-Reference.com: View Play Index Tool Used
Generated 10/1/2013.

You can make an argument for Felix Hernandez over Iwakuma, but it'd be pretty stats-heavy. I think it's pretty close between Scherzer and Darvish. As I've written, I think Scherzer has been kind of lucky. But it works. I'd vote for him.

Who will get it: 21-3 gets it done.

NL Cy Young
Who should get it: There is not a race. Clayton Kershaw led the league in ERA, strikeouts, and baserunners per inning, and is third in wins.

Who will get it: The only question is whether it'll be unanimous.

AL Rookie of the Year
Who should get it: Man. Can we just skip to the NL? This is a really weak pool. No rookie position player qualified for the batting title or rookie pitcher for the ERA title, and the best reliever, Seattle's Danny Farquhar, had 16 saves but a 4.20 ERA. I'd give the nod to Wil Myers, who led all AL rookies in doubles, homers, runs, RBI, and slugging.

Who will get it: Jose Iglesias batted .303, which I think is a fluke, and played fantastic shortstop, which I think isn't.

NL Rookie of the Year
Who should get it: Jose Fernandez had one of the best season for a young pitcher in baseball history.

Who will get it: It'll be close between Fernandez and Yasiel Puig, whom some people credit for jump-starting the Dodgers' season. Given that Puig kind of ran out of gas in September (.214 batting, .333 on-base, .452 slugging), I think Fernandez is money good.

AL Manager of the Year
Who should get it: Joe Girardi. No, really. Look at the hand he was dealt: No Texeira. Effectively no Jeter. Only 61 games from Granderson, 44 from Rodriguez. Sabathia pretty much sucked. Outscored by 21 runs. Yet they won 85 games. 

Who will get it: I'd vote for John Farrell and Bob Melvin after Girardi. They managed teams with a lot of question marks to the two best records in the AL. But I'll bet it goes to Terry Francona, who took a perennial loser in Cleveland to the postseason.

NL Manager of the Year
Who should get it: I don't see any standouts among Fredi Gonzalez, Clint Hurdle, and Mike Matheny. I'm not buying Don Mattingly: He was dealt a ridiculously strong hand in Los Angeles. I suppose Hurdle, since he led a team that was only decent on paper to a better-than-decent 94-68 record.

Who will get it: Hurdle, of course, for leading the Pirates to the postseason for the first time since 1992.


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